patient state
Causal Reinforcement Learning based Agent-Patient Interaction with Clinical Domain Knowledge
Zhao, Wenzheng, Zhang, Ran, Lopez, Ruth Palan, Wung, Shu-Fen, Yuan, Fengpei
Reinforcement Learning (RL) faces significant challenges in adaptive healthcare interventions, such as dementia care, where data is scarce, decisions require interpretability, and underlying patient-state dynamic are complex and causal in nature. In this work, we present a novel framework called Causal structure-aware Reinforcement Learning (CRL) that explicitly integrates causal discovery and reasoning into policy optimization. This method enables an agent to learn and exploit a directed acyclic graph (DAG) that describes the causal dependencies between human behavioral states and robot actions, facilitating more efficient, interpretable, and robust decision-making. We validate our approach in a simulated robot-assisted cognitive care scenario, where the agent interacts with a virtual patient exhibiting dynamic emotional, cognitive, and engagement states. The experimental results show that CRL agents outperform conventional model-free RL baselines by achieving higher cumulative rewards, maintaining desirable patient states more consistently, and exhibiting interpretable, clinically-aligned behavior. We further demonstrate that CRL's performance advantage remains robust across different weighting strategies and hyperparameter settings. In addition, we demonstrate a lightweight LLM-based deployment: a fixed policy is embedded into a system prompt that maps inferred states to actions, producing consistent, supportive dialogue without LLM finetuning. Our work illustrates the promise of causal reinforcement learning for human-robot interaction applications, where interpretability, adaptiveness, and data efficiency are paramount.
Linearized Optimal Transport for Analysis of High-Dimensional Point-Cloud and Single-Cell Data
Wang, Tianxiang, Ke, Yingtong, Bhaskar, Dhananjay, Krishnaswamy, Smita, Cloninger, Alexander
Single-cell technologies generate high-dimensional point clouds of cells, enabling detailed characterization of complex patient states and treatment responses. Yet each patient is represented by an irregular point cloud rather than a simple vector, making it difficult to directly quantify and compare biological differences between individuals. Nonlinear methods such as kernels and neural networks achieve predictive accuracy but act as black boxes, offering little biological interpretability. To address these limitations, we adapt the Linear Optimal Transport (LOT) framework to this setting, embedding irregular point clouds into a fixed-dimensional Euclidean space while preserving distributional structure. This embedding provides a principled linear representation that preserves optimal transport geometry while enabling downstream analysis. It also forms a registration between any two patients, enabling direct comparison of their cellular distributions. Within this space, LOT enables: (i) \textbf{accurate and interpretable classification} of COVID-19 patient states, where classifier weights map back to specific markers and spatial regions driving predictions; and (ii) \textbf{synthetic data generation} for patient-derived organoids, exploiting the linearity of the LOT embedding. LOT barycenters yield averaged cellular profiles representing combined conditions or samples, supporting drug interaction testing. Together, these results establish LOT as a unified framework that bridges predictive performance, interpretability, and generative modeling. By transforming heterogeneous point clouds into structured embeddings directly traceable to the original data, LOT opens new opportunities for understanding immune variation and treatment effects in high-dimensional biological systems.
TrajSurv: Learning Continuous Latent Trajectories from Electronic Health Records for Trustworthy Survival Prediction
Zeng, Sihang, Liu, Lucas Jing, Wen, Jun, Yetisgen, Meliha, Etzioni, Ruth, Luo, Gang
Trustworthy survival prediction is essential for clinical decision making. Longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs) provide a uniquely powerful opportunity for the prediction. However, it is challenging to accurately model the continuous clinical progression of patients underlying the irregularly sampled clinical features and to transparently link the progression to survival outcomes. To address these challenges, we develop TrajSurv, a model that learns continuous latent trajectories from longitudinal EHR data for trustworthy survival prediction. TrajSurv employs a neural controlled differential equation (NCDE) to extract continuous-time latent states from the irregularly sampled data, forming continuous latent trajectories. To ensure the latent trajectories reflect the clinical progression, TrajSurv aligns the latent state space with patient state space through a time-aware contrastive learning approach. To transparently link clinical progression to the survival outcome, TrajSurv uses latent trajectories in a two-step divide-and-conquer interpretation process. First, it explains how the changes in clinical features translate into the latent trajectory's evolution using a learned vector field. Second, it clusters these latent trajectories to identify key clinical progression patterns associated with different survival outcomes. Evaluations on two real-world medical datasets, MIMIC-III and eICU, show TrajSurv's competitive accuracy and superior transparency over existing deep learning methods.
Learning Explainable Treatment Policies with Clinician-Informed Representations: A Practical Approach
Ferstad, Johannes O., Fox, Emily B., Scheinker, David, Johari, Ramesh
Digital health interventions (DHIs) and remote patient monitoring (RPM) have shown great potential in improving chronic disease management through personalized care. However, barriers like limited efficacy and workload concerns hinder adoption of existing DHIs; while limited sample sizes and lack of interpretability limit the effectiveness and adoption of purely black-box algorithmic DHIs. In this paper, we address these challenges by developing a pipeline for learning explainable treatment policies for RPM-enabled DHIs. We apply our approach in the real-world setting of RPM using a DHI to improve glycemic control of youth with type 1 diabetes. Our main contribution is to reveal the importance of clinical domain knowledge in developing state and action representations for effective, efficient, and interpretable targeting policies. We observe that policies learned from clinician-informed representations are significantly more efficacious and efficient than policies learned from black-box representations. This work emphasizes the importance of collaboration between ML researchers and clinicians for developing effective DHIs in the real world.
Deep State-Space Generative Model For Correlated Time-to-Event Predictions
Xue, Yuan, Zhou, Denny, Du, Nan, Dai, Andrew M., Xu, Zhen, Zhang, Kun, Cui, Claire
Capturing the inter-dependencies among multiple types of clinicallycritical Time-to-event prediction (also known as survival analysis) investigates events is critical not only to accurate future event prediction, the distribution of time duration until the event of interest but also to better treatment planning. In this work, we propose a happens in the presence of event censorship. In the healthcare domain, deep latent state-space generative model to capture the interactions it is an essential tool for modeling the risks of critical medical among different types of correlated clinical events (e.g., kidney events and capturing of the relationship between the co-variants failure, mortality) by explicitly modeling the temporal dynamics and the risks [9]. of patients' latent states. Based on these learned patient states, we Recently, machine learning methods have been applied to timeto-event further develop a new general discrete-time formulation of the hazard predictions to provide flexible modeling of the time distribution rate function to estimate the survival distribution of patients [6, 19, 22], and capture the nonlinear relationship between with significantly improved accuracy.
Empowering Clinicians with Medical Decision Transformers: A Framework for Sepsis Treatment
Rahman, Aamer Abdul, Agarwal, Pranav, Noumeir, Rita, Jouvet, Philippe, Michalski, Vincent, Kahou, Samira Ebrahimi
Offline reinforcement learning has shown promise for solving tasks in safety-critical settings, such as clinical decision support. Its application, however, has been limited by the lack of interpretability and interactivity for clinicians. To address these challenges, we propose the medical decision transformer (MeDT), a novel and versatile framework based on the goal-conditioned reinforcement learning paradigm for sepsis treatment recommendation. MeDT uses the decision transformer architecture to learn a policy for drug dosage recommendation. During offline training, MeDT utilizes collected treatment trajectories to predict administered treatments for each time step, incorporating known treatment outcomes, target acuity scores, past treatment decisions, and current and past medical states. This analysis enables MeDT to capture complex dependencies among a patient's medical history, treatment decisions, outcomes, and short-term effects on stability. Our proposed conditioning uses acuity scores to address sparse reward issues and to facilitate clinician-model interactions, enhancing decision-making. Following training, MeDT can generate tailored treatment recommendations by conditioning on the desired positive outcome (survival) and user-specified short-term stability improvements. We carry out rigorous experiments on data from the MIMIC-III dataset and use off-policy evaluation to demonstrate that MeDT recommends interventions that outperform or are competitive with existing offline reinforcement learning methods while enabling a more interpretable, personalized and clinician-directed approach.
COPER: Continuous Patient State Perceiver
Chauhan, Vinod Kumar, Thakur, Anshul, O'Donoghue, Odhran, Clifton, David A.
In electronic health records (EHRs), irregular time-series (ITS) occur naturally due to patient health dynamics, reflected by irregular hospital visits, diseases/conditions and the necessity to measure different vitals signs at each visit etc. ITS present challenges in training machine learning algorithms which mostly are built on assumption of coherent fixed dimensional feature space. In this paper, we propose a novel COntinuous patient state PERceiver model, called COPER, to cope with ITS in EHRs. COPER uses Perceiver model and the concept of neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to learn the continuous time dynamics of patient state, i.e., continuity of input space and continuity of output space. The neural ODEs help COPER to generate regular time-series to feed to Perceiver model which has the capability to handle multi-modality large-scale inputs. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model, we use in-hospital mortality prediction task on MIMIC-III dataset and carefully design experiments to study irregularity. The results are compared with the baselines which prove the efficacy of the proposed model.
KNOWLEDGE BASED AI AGENT IN HEALTHCARE
In the first article of this series, we have established a patient centric semantic net and discussed structure and possible content of such a net. In this article, we are going to discuss frames and thematic role systems and why they are important in the functioning of an intelligent agent. They are typically top-down knowledge-based structures that sets expectation about one or more events. For example, consider the Diabetes type 2 drug Thiazolidinediones. As a result this medication should not be prescribed to patients with kidney disease or heart problems.
Semi-Supervised Variational Reasoning for Medical Dialogue Generation
Li, Dongdong, Ren, Zhaochun, Ren, Pengjie, Chen, Zhumin, Fan, Miao, Ma, Jun, de Rijke, Maarten
Medical dialogue generation aims to provide automatic and accurate responses to assist physicians to obtain diagnosis and treatment suggestions in an efficient manner. In medical dialogues two key characteristics are relevant for response generation: patient states (such as symptoms, medication) and physician actions (such as diagnosis, treatments). In medical scenarios large-scale human annotations are usually not available, due to the high costs and privacy requirements. Hence, current approaches to medical dialogue generation typically do not explicitly account for patient states and physician actions, and focus on implicit representation instead. We propose an end-to-end variational reasoning approach to medical dialogue generation. To be able to deal with a limited amount of labeled data, we introduce both patient state and physician action as latent variables with categorical priors for explicit patient state tracking and physician policy learning, respectively. We propose a variational Bayesian generative approach to approximate posterior distributions over patient states and physician actions. We use an efficient stochastic gradient variational Bayes estimator to optimize the derived evidence lower bound, where a 2-stage collapsed inference method is proposed to reduce the bias during model training. A physician policy network composed of an action-classifier and two reasoning detectors is proposed for augmented reasoning ability. We conduct experiments on three datasets collected from medical platforms. Our experimental results show that the proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in terms of objective and subjective evaluation metrics. Our experiments also indicate that our proposed semi-supervised reasoning method achieves a comparable performance as state-of-the-art fully supervised learning baselines for physician policy learning.
Unifying Cardiovascular Modelling with Deep Reinforcement Learning for Uncertainty Aware Control of Sepsis Treatment
Nanayakkara, Thesath, Clermont, Gilles, Langmead, Christopher James, Swigon, David
Sepsis is the leading cause of mortality in the ICU, responsible for 6% of all hospitalizations and 35% of all in-hospital deaths in USA. However, there is no universally agreed upon strategy for vasopressor and fluid administration. It has also been observed that different patients respond differently to treatment, highlighting the need for individualized treatment. Vasopressors and fluids are administrated with specific effects to cardiovascular physiology in mind and medical research has suggested that physiologic, hemodynamically guided, approaches to treatment. Thus we propose a novel approach, exploiting and unifying complementary strengths of Mathematical Modelling, Deep Learning, Reinforcement Learning and Uncertainty Quantification, to learn individualized, safe, and uncertainty aware treatment strategies. We first infer patient-specific, dynamic cardiovascular states using a novel physiology-driven recurrent neural network trained in an unsupervised manner. This information, along with a learned low dimensional representation of the patient's lab history and observable data, is then used to derive value distributions using Batch Distributional Reinforcement Learning. Moreover in a safety critical domain it is essential to know what our agent does and does not know, for this we also quantify the model uncertainty associated with each patient state and action, and propose a general framework for uncertainty aware, interpretable treatment policies. This framework can be tweaked easily, to reflect a clinician's own confidence of the framework, and can be easily modified to factor in human expert opinion, whenever it's accessible. Using representative patients and a validation cohort, we show that our method has learned physiologically interpretable generalizable policies.